Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.715810 0.911875 1.131711 1.393721 1.694758 2.027201 2.419439
2025-08-24 0.472148 0.726697 1.046866 1.466520 1.989616 2.608405 3.383706
2025-08-31 0.296885 0.561963 0.937203 1.474882 2.194265 3.094372 4.275911
2025-09-07 0.206677 0.478210 0.906256 1.567015 2.501464 3.720560 5.375062
2025-09-14 0.139553 0.401701 0.862783 1.626188 2.760389 4.293864 6.433293
2025-09-21 0.089811 0.331273 0.807960 1.653002 2.967170 4.801534 7.422959
2025-09-28 0.051598 0.260014 0.729922 1.625495 3.083805 5.183514 8.253364
2025-10-05 0.031441 0.217824 0.692760 1.655381 3.282434 5.682961 9.254801
2025-10-12 0.017563 0.179440 0.650648 1.666860 3.447513 6.135660 10.200912
2025-10-19 0.007508 0.136969 0.583381 1.618665 3.507372 6.430811 10.929313
2025-10-26 0.002641 0.105001 0.528243 1.582282 3.579132 6.741104 11.682799
2025-11-02 0.000844 0.085814 0.499813 1.594086 3.730811 7.175102 12.622890
2025-11-09 0.000067 0.062637 0.447479 1.547637 3.779410 7.456806 13.358573
2025-11-16 0.000002 0.055380 0.447121 1.617952 4.043178 8.086675 14.626206
2025-11-23 NaN 0.043422 0.420936 1.622907 4.185253 8.526081 15.619465
2025-11-30 NaN 0.040308 0.431630 1.719154 4.504020 9.259441 17.070090
2025-12-07 NaN 0.035088 0.429068 1.781116 4.759392 9.895557 18.384938
2025-12-14 NaN 0.028547 0.414438 1.809104 4.949136 10.427857 19.550695
2025-12-21 NaN 0.020352 0.380756 1.779551 5.021922 10.766448 20.424222
2025-12-28 NaN 0.016366 0.369866 1.811212 5.218073 11.315313 21.630705
2026-01-04 NaN 0.012429 0.353378 1.823352 5.373489 11.797412 22.739559
2026-01-11 NaN 0.007700 0.318273 1.772035 5.392399 12.045187 23.484603
2026-01-18 NaN 0.004625 0.289431 1.733285 5.433603 12.330238 24.291056